Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.238780 1.401810 1.580447 1.791069 2.033070 2.302952 2.627462
2024-12-15 0.999043 1.220809 1.485171 1.825106 2.252873 2.776242 3.469554
2024-12-22 0.846190 1.086901 1.390090 1.803014 2.355360 3.075181 4.094847
2024-12-29 0.752817 1.007092 1.342144 1.820696 2.494369 3.420381 4.809499
2025-01-05 0.667366 0.923680 1.274468 1.796111 2.563206 3.667237 5.408198
2025-01-12 0.602618 0.859544 1.223205 1.783846 2.641347 3.928089 6.052148
2025-01-19 0.530792 0.776791 1.135163 1.705085 2.607019 4.010671 6.422961
2025-01-26 0.497699 0.747162 1.121154 1.734713 2.739640 4.362451 7.268587
2025-02-02 0.470076 0.722654 1.111603 1.768641 2.880310 4.739747 8.203713
2025-02-09 0.441345 0.693411 1.091247 1.781704 2.985697 5.066829 9.090554
2025-02-16 0.414942 0.665321 1.069718 1.789646 3.081395 5.385151 10.000785
2025-02-23 0.396249 0.648081 1.064110 1.823503 3.225047 5.803487 11.156756
2025-03-02 0.366404 0.610219 1.021405 1.789406 3.244240 5.999014 11.911876
2025-03-09 0.352121 0.597921 1.021752 1.833245 3.414495 6.504229 13.382614
2025-03-16 0.328906 0.567945 0.988112 1.810139 3.451942 6.749811 14.332436
2025-03-23 0.313857 0.551273 0.976832 1.827984 3.571609 7.175266 15.743513
2025-03-30 0.294326 0.524874 0.945400 1.803282 3.601248 7.414212 16.760876
2025-04-06 0.278116 0.503396 0.921417 1.790964 3.654968 7.710498 17.959420
2025-04-13 0.255108 0.467444 0.867063 1.711857 3.557103 7.658570 18.292171
2025-04-20 0.246741 0.458948 0.865316 1.741614 3.700558 8.171741 20.139689
2025-04-27 0.239382 0.451842 0.865678 1.775692 3.857119 8.734535 22.212361
2025-05-04 0.230269 0.440593 0.856789 1.788812 3.966726 9.197980 24.095283
2025-05-11 0.221249 0.428889 0.846055 1.796789 4.064918 9.645264 26.010802